Today’s U.S. Supreme Court decision, which barely made national headlines, could have far-reaching consequences: The Justices voted 6-3 to uphold a 2005 Indiana law requiring photo identification for voters, meaning the law will be in effect for next week’s Democratic primary.
The law’s stated purpose was to cut down on voter fraud. An inevitable consequence of the law is that it will keep many minorities and older people – who are less likely to have photo ID – from voting. The fact that the decision came eight days before the primary makes it less likely that many registered voters without photo ID will be able to get it in time.
The Indiana primary is expected to be a close one, and the disenfranchisement of large groups of voters can make a big difference. And this primary could help shape the entire election: If Barack Obama wins, Hillary Clinton is likely to drop out of the race, beginning the process of unifying the Democratic party and giving Obama a good chance of becoming the next president. If Clinton wins, she will certainly remain in the race, perhaps through August’s convention, weakening the party and giving John McCain a better chance of willing the general election.
So once again, though far more indirectly than in 2000, the U.S. Supreme Court might have chosen our next president.